It’s that time of the year for, among other things, to take a guess at what the next 12 months will bring. Here is a sampling the future to come from some of the blogosphere’s more interesting prognosticators:
"It will be a long year of head scratching and simmering disputes in the “content creation” business as the major platforms shift strategy on RSS, in particular, and blogging, broadly. In other words, we won’t get nearly as much accomplished as we hoped. At issue is how content creators export their business model through RSS aggregation platforms. Near the end of the year, though, there will be a breakthrough deal that clarifies business model standards in the RSS space.”
"So when Forrester Research predicts that Internet advertising will be 8% of the total by 2010,-- an average of almost 50% annually, then it is hard to buy in to Morgan Stanley’s prediction that traditional media will still grow an average of 4.3% unless the economy is on a real rip.”
"Information filtering - newsmastering Information filtering, competitive intelligence, Newsmastering. These are fields that will see enormous growth for both the short and the long term. This is the area in which a huge number of business and social opportunities are available. The ability to filter, aggregate, monitor and tracks the information items you are interested in will increasingly become one of the most valued services of all.”
"The theoretics of the Attention Economy begin to be commercially exploited. Google (and others) launch product(s) that measure how we spend our time online in order to improve their understanding of how to advertise to us. This is sweetened with incentives - free wifi, free bandwidth or maybe cash - but ultimately people begin to push back on Google for the first time.”
Feeling the pressure to get out you’re own 2006 predictions for your blog? Try Matt McAllister’s Dotcom Prediction Generator.
The natural ability of the Internet to distribute unbundled media is disrupting broadcasting’s basic business, and that will accelerate in 2006.
from 2006: The Unbundled Awakening by Terry Heaton via JD Lasica